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Why do Biden's votes not follow Benford's Law?

My book is cheap at Waterstones and signed at Maths Gear:
https://www.waterstones.com/book/humble-pi/matt-parker/9780141989143
https://mathsgear.co.uk/products/humble-pi-signed-paperback

Check out Steve Mould's Numberphile video about Benford's Law.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XXjlR2OK1kM

Buy a signed copy of "How Many Socks Make a Pair?" by Rob Eastaway.
https://mathsgear.co.uk/products/copy-of-signed-copy-of-why-do-busses-come-in-threes

"Benford's Law and the Detection of Election Fraud" 2011 paper.
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/political-analysis/article/benfords-law-and-the-detection-of-election-fraud/3B1D64E822371C461AF3C61CE91AAF6D

Get your Chicago Board of Election Commissioners data here!
https://chicagoelections.gov/en/election-results.asp?election=251&race=11

Yep, 2069 precincts. Some would say that's too many.
https://data.cityofchicago.org/Facilities-Geographic-Boundaries/Precincts-current-/uvpq-qeeq

If you must, here are links to people using Benford's Law to suggest the Biden votes were fraudulent. Please do no harass or brigade anyone.
https://github.com/cjph8914/2020_benfords/blob/main/Chicago_Wards_Precincts_Benfords_Data.ipynb
https://jonsnewplace.wordpress.com/2020/11/07/joe-bidens-votes-violate-benfords-law-mathematics-gnews/

CORRECTIONS
- None yet: let me know if you spot any mistakes!

Thanks to my Patreon supporters who mean I can spend TWO DAYS trawling through election stats and making plots. I'm meant to be writing a new book you know. So, thanks a lot.

https://www.patreon.com/standupmaths

As always: thanks to Jane Street who support my channel. They're amazing.
https://www.janestreet.com/

Filming and editing by Matt Parker
Music by Howard Carter
Design by Simon Wright and Adam Robinson

MATT PARKER: Stand-up Mathematician
Website: http://standupmaths.com/
US book: https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/610964/humble-pi-by-matt-parker/
UK book: https://mathsgear.co.uk/collections/books/products/humble-pi-signed-paperback

Видео Why do Biden's votes not follow Benford's Law? канала Stand-up Maths
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11 ноября 2020 г. 8:06:59
00:17:46
Яндекс.Метрика