Trump vs Biden 2020 Election Electoral College Map Projection | QT Politics
President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden will be facing off in the 2020 presidential election.
US presidents are, of course, voted into power by the electoral college: a body of 538 electors, pledged to vote on behalf of their state or district. Generally speaking, the plurality of a statewide vote determines which candidate that state's electors will vote for. Although, in Maine and Nebraska, while two electors are chosen this way, both states also allocate one elector for each of its congressional districts: Maine has two, Nebraska has three. To win the presidency, a candidate must secure an absolute majority of at least 270 electoral college votes.
In this video, I'm going to produce a few different electoral college map projections for the 2020 election. I'll build a map based on the most recent head-to-head statewide polling and fill in the gaps with solid historical trends. I'll also use this data to project a path of least resistance for both major presidential candidates. I'll also compare 2016 polling data against actual election results to show the level of reliability that polling, this far out, has in determining presidential elections.
In the end, while I think it's too early to draw firm conclusions, I hope my analysis will help to answer some of the questions, surrounding the question:
Who will win?
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#2020election
#politics
#questiontime
Question Time features video essays about politics, history and culture, with a particular focus on the United States of America. Topics are inspired by events and trends in news and current affairs, and attempt to provide context for a robust discussion in the comments section. All opinions presented in videos are my own, but yours matter, too. Your thoughts are highly valued, even when you don't agree. At the heart of every vibrant democracy are ordinary people, engaged in debate over policy and values.
Видео Trump vs Biden 2020 Election Electoral College Map Projection | QT Politics канала Question Time
US presidents are, of course, voted into power by the electoral college: a body of 538 electors, pledged to vote on behalf of their state or district. Generally speaking, the plurality of a statewide vote determines which candidate that state's electors will vote for. Although, in Maine and Nebraska, while two electors are chosen this way, both states also allocate one elector for each of its congressional districts: Maine has two, Nebraska has three. To win the presidency, a candidate must secure an absolute majority of at least 270 electoral college votes.
In this video, I'm going to produce a few different electoral college map projections for the 2020 election. I'll build a map based on the most recent head-to-head statewide polling and fill in the gaps with solid historical trends. I'll also use this data to project a path of least resistance for both major presidential candidates. I'll also compare 2016 polling data against actual election results to show the level of reliability that polling, this far out, has in determining presidential elections.
In the end, while I think it's too early to draw firm conclusions, I hope my analysis will help to answer some of the questions, surrounding the question:
Who will win?
Newest Videos: https://bit.ly/2RTzEzf
Most Popular Videos: https://bit.ly/2DB0adA
Subscribe: http://www.youtube.com/questiontimeqt
Support this channel: https://www.patreon.com/questiontime
#2020election
#politics
#questiontime
Question Time features video essays about politics, history and culture, with a particular focus on the United States of America. Topics are inspired by events and trends in news and current affairs, and attempt to provide context for a robust discussion in the comments section. All opinions presented in videos are my own, but yours matter, too. Your thoughts are highly valued, even when you don't agree. At the heart of every vibrant democracy are ordinary people, engaged in debate over policy and values.
Видео Trump vs Biden 2020 Election Electoral College Map Projection | QT Politics канала Question Time
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