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Red Mirage – How Blue Shift in Election 2020 Could Test American Democracy | QT Politics

If you're following the presidential election between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, you may have heard the terms “blue shift”, or “red mirage” to describe potential shifts in the balance of voting tallies, as they roll in on election night and beyond.

While the blue shift phenomenon significantly pre-dates speculation about the 2020 election, its effects are anticipated to be far more extreme this November.

In this video, I'll break down the origins and causes of the blue shift, and why the blue shift is so dreaded amongst some political analysts. Election law expert Rick Hasen, for example claimed that a blue shift could cause a “nightmare scenario”. So, let's talk about that:

What's so scary?

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Question Time features video essays about politics, history and culture, with a particular focus on the United States of America. Topics are inspired by events and trends in news and current affairs, and attempt to provide context for a robust discussion in the comments section. All opinions presented in videos are my own, but yours matter, too. Your thoughts are highly valued, even when you don't agree. At the heart of every vibrant democracy are ordinary people, engaged in debate over policy and values.

Sources:
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/08/brace-blue-shift/615097/
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2353352
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/24/us/politics/fbi-director-voter-fraud.html
https://www.bartleby.com/73/1593.html
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1275062328971497472
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2020/11/what-if-trump-refuses-concede/616424/
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/oct/05/trump-election-poll-watchers-voter-intimidation-tactics
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election/trump-voter-fraud-facts-mail-in-ballots-voting-2020-election-b917843.html
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-53353404
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/24/us/politics/fbi-director-voter-fraud.html
https://www.axios.com/bloomberg-group-trump-election-night-scenarios-a554e8f5-9702-437e-ae75-d2be478d42bb.html
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/07/20/politics/disputed-election-crisis-trump/index.html
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/09/01/politics/2020-election-count-red-mirage-blue-shift/index.html
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-02/the-big-blue-shift-that-could-spell-election-mayhem-quicktake
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blue_shift_(politics)
https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/pennsylvania-2020-election-blue-shift-20200127.html
https://www.trumanlibraryinstitute.org/dewey-defeats-truman/
https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/spl/pa-kathy-boockvar-precanvassing-republicans-gov-tom-wolf-20201019.html
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/older-voters-flee-trump-solidifying-biden-s-advantage-2020-race-n1242280
https://www.brookings.edu/blog/the-avenue/2020/10/28/older-voters-may-secure-a-biden-victory-in-2020s-swing-states/

Видео Red Mirage – How Blue Shift in Election 2020 Could Test American Democracy | QT Politics канала Question Time
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2 ноября 2020 г. 1:54:32
00:18:10
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