Tropical Storm likely in Indian Ocean - Tropical Weather Bulletin

Three areas of interest remain active across the globe, with the highest potential belonging to a system northeast of Madagascar which is gaining momentum. This potential storm will be a slow mover, drifting towards the northwest and then possibly stalling later on, meaning that rainfall amounts could be very high for some of the small islands in the area. Models are unsure of the long term fate of the storm, ranging from full collapse whilst it's still stalling, to a run towards Tanzania and Kenya as a tropical storm.

In the Eastern Pacific, hurricane season starts tomorrow, and an area of interest is creeping into the scene. This potential tropical storm is expected to move generally eastwards, and the threat to Mexico appears to be low at this time.

In the Western Pacific, the GFS and other computer models are sounding the alarm once again over another potentially large typhoon later in the week. After failing to fire from last week's disturbance, there is still a fair amount of skepticism about this week's Western Pacific offering, but Micronesia and even Guam could be implicated by this system.

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