CGSR | Cyberspace Escalation: Ladders or Lattices? Feat. Olesya Tkacheva & Martin Libicki

Meet the Authors is a new video series featuring interviews with the researchers and scholars who have written and edited CGSR publications. Through this series, viewers can gain greater insight into the development, thinking, and events that have shaped these pieces. In this video, we meet Olesya Tkacheva and Martin Libicki.

Escalation or de-escalation is an important tool in the management of crisis and conflict. Adroit use of such a tool to communicate intention and resolve presumes that all sides share an understanding whether a move from one condition to another is or is not escalatory or de-escalatory, as if they were rungs on a ladder. Our presentation challenges this conventional model of escalation by arguing that the distinction between the escalatory and de-escalatory may be ambiguous particularly when cyber operations are part of the mix. It is more appropriate to conceptualize escalation as a lattice, allowing lateral spill over to other domains as well as vertical movement that corresponds to greater intensity of conflict. We illustrate this point by developing conceptual scenarios and examining existing academic literature and relevant data. We conclude by discussing implications for current approaches to risk management.

Olesya Tkacheva an assistant professor of Data Science at Brussels School of Governance, VUB. Her research focuses on the nexus between technology and security with focus on Russia and Eastern Europe. Prior to moving to Brussels, she worked for the RAND Corporation and the Office of the Undersecretary of Defense for Policy, where she supported developing and implementing U.S. response to counter Russia’s aggression in Ukraine and Syria. Her research was published in leading journals, and she is a winner of Fulbright and National Science Foundation Fellowships, and was a postdoctoral fellow at the University of Rochester. Professor Tkacheva holds a Ph.D. degree in Public Policy and Political Science from the University of Michigan.

Martin Libicki holds the Keyser Chair of Cybersecurity Studies at the U.S. Naval Academy. In addition to teaching, he carries out research in cyberwar and the general impact of information technology on domestic and national security. He is the author of a 2021 textbook on cyberwar, Cyberspace in Peace and War (2nd edition), as well as Conquest in Cyberspace: National Security and Information Warfare and various related RAND monographs. Prior employment includes twelve years at the National Defense University, three years on the Navy Staff (logistics) and three years for the US General Accounting Office. Professor Libicki holds a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley.

💻 LLNL News: https://www.llnl.gov/news
📲 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/livermore_lab
🤳 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/livermore.lab
🐤 Twitter: https://twitter.com/Livermore_Lab
🔔 Subscribe: https://www.youtube.com/c/LivermoreLab

About LLNL: Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory has a mission of strengthening the United States’ security through development and application of world-class science and technology to: 1) enhance the nation’s defense, 2) reduce the global threat from terrorism and weapons of mass destruction, and 3) respond with vision, quality, integrity and technical excellence to scientific issues of national importance. Learn more about LLNL: https://www.llnl.gov/.

LLNL-VIDEO-827646

Видео CGSR | Cyberspace Escalation: Ladders or Lattices? Feat. Olesya Tkacheva & Martin Libicki канала Livermore Lab Events