Election 2020= Stock Market Crash?

In this video, I discuss the event risk surrounding the U.S. 2020 Presidential Election and the effects that it could have on the U.S. stock market. I believe that any market dip or crash will be a buying opportunity, simply because the Federal Reserve has the real power, and wants the stock market to go up.

VIX futures are pricing in the highest event risk of any recent election, but I think that the transition of power will be relatively smooth, and that the VIX will have a long way to fall. As the VIX falls, stocks will rise.

At the end of the video, I discuss my own political views. In my opinion, two-party politics is the lowest form of political thinking. I believe in focusing on the local over the national. I also believe in working on ways to create a separation between money and state.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial adviser.

2020 Presidential election prediction market:
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3698/Who-will-win-the-2020-US-presidential-election

U.S. election event risk:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-01/u-s-election-priced-as-worst-event-risk-in-vix-futures-history

Bush vs. Gore:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bush_v._Gore

VIX term structure:
http://vixcentral.com/

Possible cause of more Election week volatility:
https://www.axios.com/bloomberg-group-trump-election-night-scenarios-a554e8f5-9702-437e-ae75-d2be478d42bb.html

Watch the Fed's balance sheet grow:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WALCL

Matthew Kratter is the author of the Amazon best-seller "A Beginner's Guide to the Stock Market":
https://www.amazon.com/Beginners-Guide-Stock-Market-Everything-ebook/dp/B07S31TBF5

If you like my teaching style and would like to learn more about investing and trading stocks, options, and futures, be sure to check out my online courses here:
https://www.trader.university/join

Use this secret coupon code to get a discount: YT99

#Election2020
#StockMarketCrash
#Stocks2020
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