Tropical storm forming near Madagascar
Another late season storm is forming near the Farquhar group of islands in the Seychelles, north of Madagascar, and is expected to drop large amounts of rain over the area. Although its circulation hasn't yet tightened up enough to be considered a tropical cyclone, it does contain storm force winds and is expected to improve in the next 24 hours. The track of the storm will take it generally slowly westwards, before turning northwards. A fair amount of stalling is likely along its track, with low track confidence.
Elsewhere, the Eastern Pacific now boasts a 40% of storm formation, with convection firing up near El Salvador likely to become this potential storm. Whilst the GFS is confident in development, the ECMWF model is still apprehensive, and does not develop the storms. Others such as the CMC and ICON develop a weaker storm than the GFS.
In the Western Pacific, a low chance of formation is given to an area of interest in the deep tropics, over central Micronesia. The system will eventually move north or west, and at the moment is not expected to form, at least in the next seven days.
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Видео Tropical storm forming near Madagascar канала Force Thirteen
Elsewhere, the Eastern Pacific now boasts a 40% of storm formation, with convection firing up near El Salvador likely to become this potential storm. Whilst the GFS is confident in development, the ECMWF model is still apprehensive, and does not develop the storms. Others such as the CMC and ICON develop a weaker storm than the GFS.
In the Western Pacific, a low chance of formation is given to an area of interest in the deep tropics, over central Micronesia. The system will eventually move north or west, and at the moment is not expected to form, at least in the next seven days.
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Видео Tropical storm forming near Madagascar канала Force Thirteen
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