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BTC: Bull Trap or Breakout? Two Key Scenarios Explained

Bitcoin has now retested a major structural support level, and the big question is whether the market can still push higher before a larger correction unfolds.

In this video, we break down two bullish Bitcoin scenarios using Elliott Wave Theory while still keeping the broader bear market thesis intact. We discuss why the current rally may still be part of a larger corrective B-wave, what would confirm another move toward $95K–$100K, and what would be needed to truly invalidate the bearish outlook.

We also analyze the key resistance and support levels on both the higher and lower timeframes, explain why five-wave structures matter so much here, and show what traders should watch closely in the coming days and weeks.

Timestamps:
00:00 Bitcoin retests major structural support
01:12 Main bear market thesis explained
02:24 Why the B-wave may not be finished yet
03:22 The resistance zone forecast from Q2
04:28 First bullish pathway toward $100K
05:47 Key breakout confirmations to watch
07:03 Alternative long-term bullish scenario
08:24 Why Elliott Wave still favors caution
10:16 What a true bullish breakout would require
12:02 Short-term support and resistance levels
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