Fears of Russia’s Defeat: When will the ‘pro-Ukraine’ coalition become an ‘anti-Putin’ coalition?

Western Fears of Russia’s Defeat in Ukraine: When will the ‘pro-Ukraine’ coalition become an ‘anti-Putin’ coalition?

Since the beginning of the Russia’s full-scale invasion in Ukraine, the West's support for Ukraine has been enough to prevent it from losing, but it fell short of helping Ukraine win. The numbers speak for themselves: in 2023, Russia spent more than €100 billion to finance the war, while the Ukrainian side, with all the Western support, was only able to mobilise €80 billion worth of resources to equip Ukraine's defence, of which €40 billion were Ukraine's own. Total Western military support to Ukraine in 2023 was less than 0.1% of Western GDP, while the economic potential of the West is 25 times that of Russia.

The reason for such an unacceptable reality is that the West is afraid of Russia’s defeat, the collapse of Putin’s regime and the consequences thereof. That is why the West’s declarations about Ukraine’s victory paradoxically are not followed by the Western statements on the need of Russia’s defeat. That is why the West hesitates to provide sufficient military support to Ukraine for its victory and Russia’s defeat.

What fears prevent the West from committing to Ukraine’s victory and the military defeat of Russia on Ukrainian soil? Are those fears justified? How can those fears be overcome?

We will have exceptional opportunity to hear insights on the topic by renowned Ukrainian, Russian and EU experts.

PROGRAMME:
Introductory remarks:
Andrius KUBILIUS, MEP, Standing Rapporteur on Russia in the European Parliament

Panel discussion:
Vladislav INOZEMTSEV, Ph.D., Russian economist and publicist
Garry KASPAROV, Russian political activist and writer, Anti-War Committee, World chess champion
Valerii PEKAR, economist, lecturer, co-founder of NGO Nova Kraina (The New Country), Ukraine
Benjamin TALLIS, Ph.D., Senior Research Fellow, Head of Action Group Zeitenwende, DGAP, Germany
Marie MENDRAS, Professor at Sciences Po University Paris, author of ‘La guerre permanente. Ultime stratégie du Kremlin’ (Calmann-Lévy, Paris, 2024), France

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