Pascal's Triangle: The Story of Chance and Risk
This module briefly traces the mathematical achievements of Blaise Pascal, the inventor of probability theory, which form the foundation of modern science and statistics. Explains the popular conception that reality is predictable, rather than chaotic; that it tends to obey a bell curve. Connects this to Rasmussen's Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA), the foundation of DHS' risk assessment of critical infrastructure (CI). Uses the 1990s telecommunications industry as an example. Finally, addresses the limitations of PRA.
Lecture by Ted Lewis
Видео Pascal's Triangle: The Story of Chance and Risk канала Center for Homeland Defense and Security Naval Postgraduate School
Lecture by Ted Lewis
Видео Pascal's Triangle: The Story of Chance and Risk канала Center for Homeland Defense and Security Naval Postgraduate School
Показать
Комментарии отсутствуют
Информация о видео
9 февраля 2013 г. 1:24:23
00:30:03
Другие видео канала
Health Equity is a Homeland Security IssueOptimize or Die: Dynamic and Innovative Deployment Models for Fire DepartmentsThe Healthcare Emergency Management Program at Boston UniversityCooperation and Collaboration between U.S. and MexicoAddressing the Cyber-security and Cyber-terrorism ThreatsComparative Homeland Security: France and the United StatesFighting Tomorrow's Fire Today: Leveraging Intelligence for Scenario-Based Exercise DesignCounter Terrorism Policy in FranceCHDS OverviewLeadership Lessons from the Space ProgramAn Introduction to RiskThe Next Season of Pandemic Response: What Leaders Need to Know this Fall and WinterCHDS Alumni Short Talks: Whistle-Blowing: An Unyielding Duty2008-2009 Presidential Transition: National Security Considerations and OptionsEngaging Children and Youth, Via K-12 School Curricula, to Build a Culture of Disaster PreparednessWearables: Useful Sentinels of Our Health?The Nexus of Societal Fragility and ExtremismThesis Series: Enhancing Decision Making During Initial Operations at Surge EventsCyber Pearl Harbor - Strategic SettingThesis Series: Creating Domestipol: Increasing National ResilienceUnmanned Aircraft Systems for Emergency Management: A Guide for Policy Makers and Practitioners