Signalgate, a Black Sea Ceasefire, and Transatlantic Tensions: The Busy Week in Review

It’s been a busy week so far, with some crazy text messages getting leaked, if you can even call it a leak when a journalist is accidentally invited into a conversation, plus there have been developments in the Russia-Ukraine negotiations. Today, we cover both of those topics, plus the transatlantic rift, the inside baseball of my work, and the standard silliness.

0:00 A Very Busy Week
0:34 Was Signal Already Being Monitored?
4:14 Will Signalgate Reduce Intelligence Sharing?
6:04 Will Putin Break a Ceasefire?
8:46 Will Russia Settle Short of the Four Claimed Oblasts?
12:12 How Does Long-Run Uncertainty Affect Bargaining?
18:18 What’s Going on with the Black Sea Deal?
21:17 False Flag Risks with a Ceasefire?
23:58 Why Give Nuclear Umbrellas?
25:41 How Can Europe Improve Its Intelligence?
26:34 Should Europe Invest in Space?
26:47 What Wars Are Overstudied?
28:23 What Does Signalgate Tell Us about White House Rationality?
31:55 Do Arms Races Cause War?
34:58 Guesses for 2028 Nominations?
35:50 Signalgate versus Obama’s Tan Suit
36:08 What’s the Difference between a Historian and a Political Scientist?
37:43 Do Politicians Ask Academics for Advice?
39:02 How Did I Get into My Line of Work?
40:29 Do I Assign My Students My Videos?
41:04 Will I Make Videos about Ukraine’s Longer History?
41:22 What Would I Do as an Alternative Career?
43:50 What Subject Would I Like to Know More About?
45:11 What Font Do I Use
45:16 Favorite Pizza?
45:32 What Do I Do When Everything Is Going Wrong in the World?

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