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Recent geopolitical developments, including U.S.-China trade talks, have significant implications for global stock markets.

The ongoing trade negotiations between the U.S. and China have been a focal point for investors. Recent talks in Geneva, described by President Trump as a "total reset," have raised hopes for easing the 145% tariffs imposed by the U.S. and the 125% retaliatory tariffs from China. While no substantial breakthroughs were reported, the positive tone of the discussions has led to cautious optimism in the markets. Analysts suggest that even modest tariff reductions could bolster investor confidence and provide short-term support to market sentiment.

In India, the stock market has been experiencing a downturn, influenced by various global factors. The Nifty 50 index has been declining since September 27, 2024, with Sensex and Nifty dropping about 15-16% from their peak levels. Analysts predict that geopolitical tensions and foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows continue to pose challenges.

The recent ceasefire between India and Pakistan has been positively received by investors, signaling a potential rebound in the Indian stock market. Following a week of heightened tensions and market volatility, the announcement of the truce has eased investor concerns. Analysts anticipate that this development will support a market recovery, with expectations of a positive start to the week. Despite the recent downturn, the resilience shown by Indian stocks during the conflict indicates strong underlying confidence in the market.

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