China vs India GDP: 1960–2047 | 87 Years of Economic History & Projections

In 1960, China and India were neck and neck — both under $60 billion.
By 2024, China crossed $18 trillion. India reached $3.9 trillion.
By 2047 — India's centenary of independence — the gap may finally begin to close.
This animated line chart covers 87 years of economic history: World Bank actuals (1960–2024), IMF WEO projections (2025–2026), and institutional consensus forecasts through 2047.
📊 Key moments in the data:
→ 1966–1976: China's Cultural Revolution — political chaos stalls growth
→ 1966: India devalues the Rupee 36% — dollar GDP drops despite real growth
→ 1978: Deng Xiaoping's Reform & Opening Up — Special Economic Zones launched
→ 1987: India briefly overtakes China in USD terms (WB data artifact — overvalued yuan)
→ 1991: India's balance-of-payments crisis — Rao & Manmohan Singh liberalise the economy
→ 1993: China unifies its dual exchange rate — yuan devalues, resetting the baseline
→ 2001: China joins the WTO — manufacturing exports explode
→ 2007–09: Global Financial Crisis — China's $586B stimulus cushions the blow
→ 2010: China surpasses Japan — becomes world's 2nd-largest economy
→ 2020: COVID-19 — India contracts 6.6%; China the only major economy to grow
→ 2022: India overtakes the UK — world's 5th-largest economy
→ 2047: Viksit Bharat target — India projected ~$20T, China ~$41–45T
📌 Data sources:
• World Bank — NY.GDP.MKTP.CD (Nominal GDP, current USD) · 1960–2024
• IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2025 · 2025–2026 projections
• Institutional consensus (Goldman Sachs, ADB, IMF long-run) · 2027–2047
All post-2026 figures are projections, not confirmed data.
What surprises you most? Drop your prediction for India's GDP in 2047 below 👇
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📊 Every chart is fact-checked and source-cited
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