Ecosystem Highlight: Prediction Markets w/ Foresight

Foresight: Prediction Markets on Katana | Ecosystem Highlight

We sit down with Esen, founder of Foresight, to break down how prediction markets work, why they fit Katana, and what's coming for the World Cup. If you've ever wondered how to actually use Polymarket-style markets (or build on top of them), this is your starting point.

What we cover:
How prediction markets work in plain English (buying "yes/no" shares priced as probabilities)
Why Foresight pivoted from a lending protocol on top of prediction markets to its current product
Why Foresight on Katana means your idle liquidity isn't actually idle (Vault Bridge keeps it earning yield while you bet)
Live walkthrough: connecting a wallet (or signing in with Google), placing a bet, and using the shareable bet cards
Arena: how any Katana user can launch their own market, AI-assisted question writing, and the admin filter
KAT incentives for holding positions, including 2X and 3X boosted markets
Selling out of a position early vs holding to resolution, and how rewards are prorated
The AMM model under the hood (LS-LMSR) and why Foresight is moving to an order book for the World Cup
Market types that actually move: sports, esports, macro, and fast-resolving daily markets like "Will BTC go up today?"
A look at the upcoming World Cup campaign: order book launch, market maker incentives, leaderboards, and non-binary market formats

Key takeaways:
Prediction markets are just buying probability. If something is 70% likely, you pay 70 cents to win a dollar.
Foresight on Katana stacks two yield sources: Vault Bridge yield on bridged assets plus KAT rewards for holding positions.
You don't have to wait for resolution. Sell into the market when the odds move in your favor.
Anyone can spin up a market on Katana via Arena. Use it for your own niche (MMA, esports, local sports) and earn on the volume.

What's coming next on Foresight:
Order book model launching for the World Cup (battle-tested, scales with liquidity)
Public SDKs and APIs so the community can build bots and trading tools
Market making incentives running through the World Cup campaign
Custom market formats beyond yes/no (head-to-head matchups, multi-outcome)

Try it yourself: https://foresight.now (switch to Katana in the top right)

Stay informed, engaged, and connected:
The Katana App: https://app.katana.network
Katana Perps: https://perps.katana.network
Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/Katana
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Discord: https://discord.gg/katana
Katana Community Telegram: https://t.me/KatanaNetwork

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