Who Wins Uruguay vs Spain? The Data Says 1-2 #WorldCup2026 #Shorts

MODEL: UPSET INCOMING

🏆 Uruguay vs Spain | Group H | World Cup 2026

📊 PREDICTION RECAP
Pre-match read: looking at the ELO gap and home/away form going into this one.
Uruguay vs Spain prediction by Goalgorithm — a Poisson goal model trained on
team-level data + 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations per match.
Data: eloratings.net (ELO snapshots, June 2026), FIFA international results,
home/away splits, recent form.

🔢 MATCH VERDICT
• Predicted: 1-2
• Actual: 1-2
• Verdict: Pre-match prediction
• Uruguay ELO: 1892 (17% pre-match win prob)
• Spain ELO: 2157 (62% pre-match win prob)
• Model confidence: 62%

🎯 WHAT IS GOALGORITHM?
A small data project run by a real person (hi, that's me) who wanted to
combine the World Cup with first-principles data science. Every prediction
is run end-to-end per match — no copy-paste, no template spinning, just the
Poisson model + 10,000 simulations on current ELO data. Wins and misses
both get posted (transparency matters).

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🤖 AI-GENERATED CONTENT DISCLOSURE
This video features AI-generated voiceover (Kokoro TTS / Edge TTS) and
computer-generated graphics. All numerical predictions are produced by an
open-source Poisson goal model + 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations per match.
The creator oversees the process end-to-end. No real people are depicted
in synthetic form. Source data: eloratings.net, FIFA international results.

— Made with care by a human + algorithm. ✌️

Видео Who Wins Uruguay vs Spain? The Data Says 1-2 #WorldCup2026 #Shorts канала Goalgorithm