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With Artificial Intelligence, the future is faster than you think. Human development in just 100+ years became global and grown exponential. We are witnessing rapid growth, and exponential technologies drive it with the availability of faster and cheaper computing power. Artificial Intelligence is one such Exponential technologies that are reinventing every business model and ecosystem. Let's quickly revisit to understand the difference between the linear and exponential scale. If your walk is 1 meter, 30 steps of 1meter will take you 30 meters from the starting point. Whereas 30 such exponential steps lead to over 1 billion meters.
Not only in our lives, but we also see it in stocks as well. Also, in the known brands, for example, see the Netflix growth, its valuation, a decade back is linear at 2.2Billion$, and now, it is more than 300 billion. Remember, such growth can cause disruptive stress or opportunity. For example, photos taken each year have grown exponentially and, simultaneously, analogue photos have fallen exponentially. At present we have 20B+ connected devices and more than 1 trillion sensors. It is projected another exponential growth here. Hence, an explosion of data ahead and we are heading to data-driven AI. Companies have to transform themselves to sustain themselves in the future.
Sundar Pichia says "Artificial intelligence could have more profound implications for humanity than electricity or fire.”
Elon Musk says "Companies have to race to build AI or they will be made uncompetitive. Essentially, if your competitor is racing to build AI, they will crush you.”
“There will be two kinds of companies at the end of this decade…. …those who are using AI. …and those who are out of business.” We started seeing AI in drone deliveries, autonomous vehicles, Flying cars, Robots, and service industries where AI beat humans on all fronts. The decade ahead is Human-AI collaboration, In what industries? And what are the companies which have revenues from AI-enabled streams? If we look at the US stock markets, AI companies are well classified as a segment and operating in different sectors health care, finance, transportation, construction, manufacturing, education, etc including cross-industry tech.
For Indian stock market, Sectors such as FMCG, Pharma, Cement, IT, etc are well organized, here, for Artificial intelligence, there is no separate sector or segment. I have attempted to classify 30 stocks based on the criteria of at least 40% revenue contribution from AI or AI-enabled products and services. Valuations are always premium, and these stocks try to catch the exponential price curve after the end of each consolidation phase.
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