UK, Decline and Fall

UK, Cases down for last 7 days

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https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus

https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk

Monday, 26th, + 24,950

Sunday, 25th + 29,173

Saturday, 24th, + 31,795

Friday, 23rd, + 36,389

Thursday, 22nd + 39,906

Wednesday, 21st, + 44,104

Tuesday, 20th, + 46,558

Saturday, 17th + 54,674 (peak)

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-57962995

First sustained drop not coincided with a national lockdown

Prof Paul Hunter, University of East Anglia

The data at present is looking good for at least the summer

Today's figures do not of course include any impact of last Monday's end of restrictions.

It will not be until about next Friday before the data includes the impact of this change

(Netherlands and Spain, reopening of nightclubs followed by a sharp rise in infections)

Causes of decline

Football related in Scotland

Good weather

Schools summer holidays

92% of adults in the UK have antibodies
UK, 8 million adults with no vaccination

Most children under 18

Risk of immune escape

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-57941574

Dr Aris Katzourakis, Viral Evolution, University of Oxford

We are probably at the evolutionary high point, at the worst combination for an escape to happen in the UK

The UK is in a prone position, whether it will happen we don't know, but it's more likely to happen here, now, than ever before

Numbers game, large scale immunity reduces viral numbers

One in 80 infected

Escape mutations would be immensely beneficial to the virus

If we compromise the incredible vaccines we have now I don't even want to contemplate what that world would look like

Delta variant, is better at causing reinfection as well as evading vaccine immunity

Beta is worst so far, but vaccines are still protecting against most hospitalisations

Viruses don't tend to be perfect at everything

US

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases

Vaccine uptake

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccination-trends
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-57962387

Dr Anthony Fauci

US heading in the wrong direction

a pandemic among the unvaccinated

Delta variant driving spike in low vaccination areas

Considering revising mask guidance for vaccinated

Considering offering booster jabs to vulnerable people

Gain-of-function research

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/57932699

Developing viruses that are potentially more transmissible and dangerous

To gain understanding of viral evolution

Develop better treatments and vaccines

Dr Fauci

Director of the US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID)

Part of the US government's National Institutes of Health (NIH)

Which did give money to US-based EcoHealth Alliance

That collaborated with the Wuhan Institute of Virology

Research on possible coronaviruses from bats

2014, pulled in 2020

Dr Fauci

National Institutes of Health (NIH) has not ever and does not now fund gain-of-function research in the Wuhan Institute of Virology

Senator Rand Paul

Asked Dr Fauci this week if he wanted to retract that statement

As you are aware it is a crime to lie to Congress

Richard Ebright, Rutgers University

Research showed that new viruses were created

risked creating new potential pathogens

The research in both papers was gain-of-function research

Dr Fauci

Research in question has been evaluated multiple times by qualified people to not fall under the gain-of-function definition

molecularly impossible for these viruses to have resulted in the coronavirus

Dr Ralph Baric, University of North Carolina

Work they did was reviewed by NIH and university's own biosafety committee

for potential of gain-of-function research and were deemed not to be gain-of-function

We never introduced mutations into spike to enhance growth in human cells

Rebecca Moritz, Colorado State University

There is not always consensus [on gain-of-function research] even amongst experts, and institutions interpret and apply policy differently

Видео UK, Decline and Fall канала Dr. John Campbell