Putin's generals are helpless: Russian military, hollowed out by corruption, cannot sustain war

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Russian President Vladimir Putin is trying to decide whether it is a nation-state or an aspiring empire, and until that fundamental question is resolved, conflicts like the one over Ukraine will continue in various forms. To ground imperial ambitions in old national myths is as dangerous in Russia’s case as it is everywhere else. According to Kyiv Post, the Kremlin’s full-scale war on Ukraine has become a monument to Vladimir Putin’s strategic myopia and imperial obsession. Russian losses have surpassed a staggering one million casualties -– killed, wounded, or captured.

It is noted that Putin’s generals, steeped in corruption and incompetence, have squandered men and materiel in human-wave assaults and poorly coordinated offensives. The so-called “meat grinder” strategy – throwing waves of minimally trained conscripts and prison recruits into Ukrainian fire – has yielded little beyond body counts. Kyiv Post says that Russia loses around 1,500 soldiers daily. The economic toll is already dire. The “Putin Exodus” of skilled Russian professionals – up to 200,000 by mid-2022 – has gutted Russia’s intellectual and human capital. Meanwhile, the war’s cost, estimated at more than $400 billon a year, drains his shrinking treasury. Russia’s economy has been placed on a wartime footing, but it’s a house of cards, unsustainable without victory.

Following the Sino-Soviet split, the Soviet Union had vast military forces stationed along its border with China, and violent conflict erupted for seven months in 1969. But the two countries de-escalated, and now both are better off for it.

To be sure, the road to establishing the same kind of relationship between Russia and Ukraine is much longer. Putin’s behaviour has understandably left Ukrainians sceptical of Russia, if not hostile towards it. Unless Russia refocuses on building its future solely within its own borders, the region will remain under a cloud of insecurity, ultimately to Russia’s detriment.

Kyiv Post says that as Russian losses mount, the question is not if Putin will fail, but how soon. His military, hollowed out by corruption and attrition, cannot sustain this war. Ukraine, bolstered by Western aid and fierce resolve, grows stronger while Russia spills oceans of blood and mountains of treasure.
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