What Nate Silver's learned about forecasting elections | The Ezra Klein Show
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This close to an election, who do I want to hear from? Nate Silver, of course.
I sat down with the FiveThirtyEight founder and math wizard to talk about how he builds his forecasting models, what they’re saying about 2018, how big the Democrats’ structural disadvantage in the House and Senate really is, whether there's a purpose to predicting election outcomes, which campaign reporters he reads, and whether Trump is the favorite for 2020.
Silver and I also share the experience of building journalism outlets trying to do things a bit differently over the past five years, so we discuss what he’s learned along the way, what he wishes he knew at the beginning, and how he hires.
Silver brings unusual clarity and rigor to the topics he focuses on, and right now, given the speed and intensity of the elections news cycle, a bit of rigor is a welcome thing. Enjoy!
Thinking Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman
https://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Fast-Slow-Daniel-Kahneman/dp/0374533555/ref=sr_1_2?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1539967215&sr=1-2&keywords=Thinking+Fast+and+Slow+by+Daniel+Kahneman
Bad Blood by John Carreyrou
https://www.amazon.com/Bad-Blood-Secrets-Silicon-Startup/dp/152473165X
Superintelligence by Nick Bostrom
https://www.amazon.com/Superintelligence-Dangers-Strategies-Nick-Bostrom/dp/0198739834/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1539967288&sr=1-1&keywords=Superintelligence+by+Nick+Bostrom
Ezra Klein gives you a chance to get inside the heads of the newsmakers and power players in politics and media. These are extended conversations with policymakers, writers, technologists, and business leaders about what they believe in and why.
Subscribe and listen on all of your favorite podcast platforms:
Apple Podcasts: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-ezra-klein-show/id1081584611?mt=2
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Видео What Nate Silver's learned about forecasting elections | The Ezra Klein Show канала Ezra Klein Show
This close to an election, who do I want to hear from? Nate Silver, of course.
I sat down with the FiveThirtyEight founder and math wizard to talk about how he builds his forecasting models, what they’re saying about 2018, how big the Democrats’ structural disadvantage in the House and Senate really is, whether there's a purpose to predicting election outcomes, which campaign reporters he reads, and whether Trump is the favorite for 2020.
Silver and I also share the experience of building journalism outlets trying to do things a bit differently over the past five years, so we discuss what he’s learned along the way, what he wishes he knew at the beginning, and how he hires.
Silver brings unusual clarity and rigor to the topics he focuses on, and right now, given the speed and intensity of the elections news cycle, a bit of rigor is a welcome thing. Enjoy!
Thinking Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman
https://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Fast-Slow-Daniel-Kahneman/dp/0374533555/ref=sr_1_2?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1539967215&sr=1-2&keywords=Thinking+Fast+and+Slow+by+Daniel+Kahneman
Bad Blood by John Carreyrou
https://www.amazon.com/Bad-Blood-Secrets-Silicon-Startup/dp/152473165X
Superintelligence by Nick Bostrom
https://www.amazon.com/Superintelligence-Dangers-Strategies-Nick-Bostrom/dp/0198739834/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1539967288&sr=1-1&keywords=Superintelligence+by+Nick+Bostrom
Ezra Klein gives you a chance to get inside the heads of the newsmakers and power players in politics and media. These are extended conversations with policymakers, writers, technologists, and business leaders about what they believe in and why.
Subscribe and listen on all of your favorite podcast platforms:
Apple Podcasts: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-ezra-klein-show/id1081584611?mt=2
Art19: https://art19.com/shows/the-ezra-klein-show
Stitcher: https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/vox/the-ezra-klein-show
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6NOJ6IkTb2GWMj1RpmtnxP
Видео What Nate Silver's learned about forecasting elections | The Ezra Klein Show канала Ezra Klein Show
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