Tyler Technologies Valuation: Mispricing the 98% Retention Moat

Tyler Technologies (TYL) stock analysis: 98% retention unlocks $1B target — buy or sell?

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In this deep dive, we break down Tyler Technologies (TYL) and its massive strategic transition to a cloud-first subscription model. With recurring revenues jumping to 87.1% of the total mix and the company targeting $1 billion in free cash flow, the key question for investors is whether the recent valuation reset presents a generational buying opportunity or a structural warning. Here’s everything you need to know before making a decision on TYL.

🎯 SECTIONS:
• Tyler Technologies Business Model & Public Sector Dominance
• The "Cloud Living" Catalyst & 1.7x Revenue Uplift
• Economic Moat, High Switching Costs & 98% Client Retention
• Financial Performance, Margin Expansion & 2026 Guidance
• TYL Valuation Breakdown & Multiple Compression Risk
• Mid-Market Competition, Government Spending & Macro Risks
• 5-Year Scenario Analysis & Base Case Price Targets

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