India-Gulf Nations Trade Deal to be the Biggest Ever | Saudi-UAE Rivalry threaten to blow up talks

Everyone's talking about India's "mother of all deals" with the EU and "father of all deals" with the USA. But India's biggest trading partner isn't in Washington or Brussels—it's in the Gulf. The Gulf Cooperation Council represents a staggering $179 billion in bilateral trade with India, making it the biggest trading bloc - larger than the European Union, ASEAN, and even individual partners like the United States and China. India has now launched formal negotiations for a comprehensive Free Trade Agreement with all six GCC nations including Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Oman.

But there's a massive problem, internal divisions between Saudi Arabia and the UAE could derail everything. These aren't just diplomatic disagreements. They are fundamental rifts that have blocked regional cooperation before. Can six nations with competing visions actually negotiate as one bloc?

For Pakistan, this is a nightmare scenario. While Islamabad scrambles for Chinese debt relief and IMF bailouts, India is locking down the Gulf with actual trade partnerships and investments. A full India-GCC trade pact would squeeze Pakistan's strategic space in a region it once considered an ally.

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India attempted GCC negotiations before in 2006 and 2008, but talks stalled when the GCC deferred discussions with all partners. Will 2025 be different? Or will Gulf politics kill India's biggest trade opportunity yet again?

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