Why success is not predictable | Vince Ebert | TEDxHHL

Do you believe in coincidence? No? Are you sure? Try to remember how you met your spouse. Or how you got your first job. Was all of that planned? Really? We are secretly convinced that we understand the world, how our partners and the laws of the free market function. And there certainly must be a simple formula for success. Think again! Ever since the financial crisis in 2008 one thing should have become perfectly clear: in complex systems there are a ton of factors that are unpredictable per se. The factor “chance” has always played a vital role: Scotch tape was originally planned as band aid and Viagra was discovered when male test persons wouldn´t even think of giving up their heart medication.

Coincidence is absolutely vital for progress and innovation. After all the most successful system of our universe is based on trial and error: evolution. Without coincidence and chance the most influential species would never have been able to generate. Give chance a chance!

Vince Ebert, phycisist and comedian, shows why the world isn't computable and how this can be in our favor.

Vince Ebert was born in 1968 in Amorbach in Germany’s Odenwald region and studied physics at Würzburg’s Julius Maximilian University. After graduating, he worked in management consulting and market research before launching his stage career as a cabaret artist in 1998. Vince Ebert’s mission is to convey scientific contexts with the laws of humour.

This talk was given at a TEDx event using the TED conference format but independently organized by a local community. Learn more at http://ted.com/tedx

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