[Global Insight] North Korea threatens military action against South Korea. Are they serious?

김여정 "다음은 군대가 행동"…北, 서해 접경지역 도발 나서나

We start a discussion on an issue making headlines.
Over the weekend, the North Korean leader's younger sister Kim Yo-jong threatened military action against South Korea,... after unloading a stream of insults on state media over the past few weeks.
These are worrying developments in inter-Korean relations, considering that Monday marks the 20th anniversary of the June 15 Joint Statement reached by the two sides at their first ever summit,... where they pledged cooperation and dialogue for peace.
The relationship since then has been up and down, and we take a look at the latest turn with Bong Young-sik, Lecturer at Sogang University Graduate School of International Studies and Researcher at Yonsei University Institute for North Korean Studies.
We're also joined by Jenny Town, Fellow at Stimson Center based in Washington D.C. and deputy director of North Korea monitoring project 38North.

Kim Yo-jong has been very outspoken in recent weeks, threatening to end the military agreement between Seoul and Pyeongyang reached in 2018,... and she's now saying it's better to take retaliatory measures than continuing to release statements condemning the South.
1. Why is the North so unhappy with the South? What's the motivation behind the stream of verbal abuse we've been hearing in recent weeks?
2. How seriously should we be taking this threat of military action? If North Korea does act, what form of provocation do you think we'll see?
3. How should South Korea respond to these threats? Some argue the government has been meek in its response thus far.
4. All these developments have come after Kim Jong-un's disappearance from the public eye, rumors of his ailing health, and as always, speculation that the economy is in even bigger trouble than ever. What do you think is going on inside the regime? Have there been signs of instability?
5. Kim Yo-jong's role in the regime has grown significantly since the 2018 Pyeongchang Winter Olympics, and most notably in recent months, especially with her media presence. This can't just be because she's good at her job. Why do you think Kim Jong-un, or the regime, has bestowed her so much power so quickly? Or what kind of role is she being made to play?
Is she going to play a bigger role in inter-Korean relations going forward?
6. What do you expect to see in inter-Korean relations in the coming months. Do you think there's room for a turnaround in relations, or at least some easing of tensions?
This is where we'll have to wrap up the discussion. It's been great to hear your insights on this. Bong Young-shik in Seoul and Jenny Town in Washington D.C., thank you for joining the programme.

#Global_insight #KimYojong #NorthKorea

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