Tesla Will Grow 10X by 2025 : ARK INVEST( Tasha Keeney)

A few years ago, Elon Musk set a target of selling half a million electric cars a year by 2020. The competition just shook their heads, and analysts thought he was a megalomaniac. As is well known, BMW’s head of development Harald Krüger was still stubbornly claiming in the summer of 2019 that customers don’t want to buy electric cars. Well, you can be that far wrong, or maybe you can be right, because people obviously want Tesla’s electric cars, it’s just that nobody seems to want BMW’s electric cars.

The development of Tesla’s sales figures also nicely illustrates the exponential curve that young and growing companies with new technologies often present. From 2013 with 22,442 vehicles sold (only the Model S at that time) to 2020 with 499,550 (Model S, X, 3, and Y), that is now 22x as many vehicles as 7 years ago.

"In 2019, Tesla had delivered 367,500 vehicles, and 245,240 the year before that. At that pace, Tesla should get to about 850,000 vehicles in 2021, but Elon Musk will surely aim for the one million mark, then with support from the new factory near Berlin.”

With the factories in Berlin and Austin scheduled to start operations in 2021, we’ll probably see just this kind of further growth. And who knows what else Tesla is planning to maintain this growth. Currently, supply, not demand, is limiting Tesla’s sales numbers. To meet demand, building new factories may no longer be enough. The purchase of existing car factories, or even the acquisition of competitors such as Daimler or BMW, could multiply production capacities in one fell swoop. And that could become a real option in view of stock market valuations.

If we calculate an annual growth of 36% per year, Tesla will reach 2.3 million cars sold in 2025, and that means, in addition to the existing factories and those under construction, 3-4 more factories per year to be completed in the next few years

With so much momentum in both Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock price and its underlying business, is it a good time for the automaker to consider splitting its stock again?

Believe it or not, it's only been six months since Tesla surprised investors with a 5-for-1 stock split announcement. Despite the stock splitting in fifths, its price has already appreciated to more than half of its pre-split value last August. In addition, it's not just the stock that has seen momentum since last summer: The electric-car maker's sales have surged, and profitability now looks like it's here to stay. These may be signs that the growth stock could see another split this year.
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