You’re Not Priced In — You’re Buying a Lottery Ticket

You see half-pot and think “priced in.”

But the market doesn’t reward slogans. It rewards calculation.

Pot is $200, bet is $100, total $300.

You call $100 to win $300 (3-to-1) so you need 25% equity.

Nine outs times two is 18%.

You’re not priced in.

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