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Shocking Forecast: UK Faces Potential Influx of 'Hundreds of Millions' Unless Urgent Action Taken, Warns Former Minister

In a striking call to action, former International Development Secretary Sir Andrew Mitchell has issued a grave warning: unless the UK and its allies implement a sweeping, transformative plan akin to the post-World War II Marshall Plan, Europe—and particularly Britain—could see "hundreds of millions" of migrants seeking refuge from the deteriorating conditions in North Africa and the Sahel.

In his newly published essay collection A Positive Contribution, released by the Bright Blue think tank, Sir Andrew argues that illegal migration has reached uncontrollable levels, echoing growing public concern and frustration. He acknowledges the political fallout from this crisis, especially in light of the Conservatives’ poor electoral performance, which he attributes partly to the spiraling costs of housing asylum seekers and the resulting strain on public services.

Sir Andrew criticizes current strategies like offshore processing in Rwanda and crackdowns on smuggling gangs, insisting they are mere "plasters on a hemorrhage." Instead, he champions a proactive and strategic intervention at the root of the crisis. “We need a massive ‘Marshall Plan’ for North Africa and the Sahel—a partnership of investment and accountability,” he asserts.

This approach, he claims, would help stabilize the region, tackling the root causes of migration including war, poverty, climate change, and insecurity. “Unless we invest in creating hope and stability in these regions, we will face a historic wave of migration,” he warns.

He also proposes the creation of legal pathways for asylum applications from outside the UK, a move he believes could drastically cut illegal crossings, save millions in housing and welfare, and undermine the human trafficking networks. “If we want to choke off supply, we must eliminate the demand,” he writes.

Sir Andrew strongly defends international aid, criticizing cuts to the UK’s foreign aid budget, which is set to fall to 0.3% of GDP by 2027. He argues that aid is not a handout, but a crucial tool to prevent crises that lead to mass displacement. “Helping people build better lives at home is not charity—it’s strategy.”

He further warns that ignoring public sentiment risks political upheaval, referencing the rise of populism across Europe and the United States as a backlash against perceived elite indifference.

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