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Percolation models 9/9 - Oriented site percolation and forest fire model.

Assume that trees in a forest are distributed according to a two-dimensional Poisson point process. Start with one burning tree and assume that all the trees within distance one of a burning tree start burning forever. In this video, we use results from percolation theory to prove that the probability of an infinite fire is zero when the intensity is small and positive when the intensity is large. This is Exercises 9.2 and 13.6 of my Stochastic Modeling book.
This video is part of the playlist Stochastic Modeling https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DWP7_Pvxync&list=PLV3oHJg9b1NRKMFQ_XGzBmj4J7vASnBfG

Видео Percolation models 9/9 - Oriented site percolation and forest fire model. канала The probability channel - Professor Lanchier
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3 сентября 2020 г. 5:57:10
00:30:28
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