The 'happy talk' fallacy on the Appalachian Trail

For years the number of people attempting a northbound AT thru hike has increased, and the percentage of those who succeed has fallen. What is going on?
Morale and reality playlist -- https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLTJe9vVwbB9BugXA6YyOxWtbgB1jiOIyx
Hiking for mileage playlist -- https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLTJe9vVwbB9BbPiGihnI1L9LlLTEEJymt
Health and safety play list -- https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLTJe9vVwbB9BWxXPECKp3Y1EY_FkAjnqI
Bonus -- Enduring weather play list -- https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLTJe9vVwbB9DJiw-fYZjN_YCksQlZy0PH
Flatbrokeoutside on Facebook -- https://www.facebook.com/Flatbrokeoutside-176295672733321/?ref=bookmarks

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