US Elections vs. the Stock Market
With the upcoming United States presidential election, lots of investors are worried about how the election outcome will affect their investments. This is not a new worry - elections are stressful times and it seems obvious that the outcome should impact the stock market. Rhetoric from across the political spectrum certainly doesn’t help.
Fortunately, the relationship between stock markets, elections, and political parties has been studied extensively, allowing us to step back from the rhetoric to consider the historical data and the theories that explain it.
Referenced in this video:
Political Climate, Optimism, and Investment Decisions: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1509168
With Greater Uncertainty Comes Greater Volatility: https://jii.pm-research.com/content/10/3/6
The Presidential Puzzle: Political Cycles and the Stock Market: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1540-6261.00590
What Moves Stock Prices?: https://www.nber.org/papers/w2538
Political Cycles and Stock Returns: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2909281
Time varying risk aversion: http://www.eief.it/eief/images/Guiso-Sapienza-Zingales_JofFE_2018.pdf
Partisan Financial Cycles: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1616374
Unemployment and the Democratic Electoral Advantage: https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/american-political-science-review/article/unemployment-and-the-democratic-electoral-advantage/350FF2535247A605502B6941EAA84E16
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PWL Capital Blog Post: https://www.pwlcapital.com/u-s-presidential-elections-vs-the-stock-market-whos-really-in-charge/
Follow PWL Capital on:
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Видео US Elections vs. the Stock Market канала Ben Felix
Fortunately, the relationship between stock markets, elections, and political parties has been studied extensively, allowing us to step back from the rhetoric to consider the historical data and the theories that explain it.
Referenced in this video:
Political Climate, Optimism, and Investment Decisions: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1509168
With Greater Uncertainty Comes Greater Volatility: https://jii.pm-research.com/content/10/3/6
The Presidential Puzzle: Political Cycles and the Stock Market: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1540-6261.00590
What Moves Stock Prices?: https://www.nber.org/papers/w2538
Political Cycles and Stock Returns: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2909281
Time varying risk aversion: http://www.eief.it/eief/images/Guiso-Sapienza-Zingales_JofFE_2018.pdf
Partisan Financial Cycles: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1616374
Unemployment and the Democratic Electoral Advantage: https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/american-political-science-review/article/unemployment-and-the-democratic-electoral-advantage/350FF2535247A605502B6941EAA84E16
------------------
Follow Ben Felix on
- Twitter: https://twitter.com/benjaminwfelix
- LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/
Visit Rational Reminder: https://www.https://rationalreminder.ca/
Follow the Rational Reminder on:
- Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/RationalRemind
Visit PWL Capital: https://www.pwlcapital.com/teams/passmore-felix/
PWL Capital Blog Post: https://www.pwlcapital.com/u-s-presidential-elections-vs-the-stock-market-whos-really-in-charge/
Follow PWL Capital on:
- Twitter: https://twitter.com/PWLCapital
- Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PWLCapital
- LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/pwl-capital/
You can find the Rational Reminder podcast on
Google Podcasts:
https://www.google.com/podcasts?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9yYXRpb25hbHJlbWluZGVyLmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz
Apple Podcasts:
https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582?mt=2
Spotify Podcasts:
https://open.spotify.com/show/6RHWTH9iW7hdnA7eAg7ukO?si=hjZNfLKuSjSeWX38GPqhVA
------------------
Видео US Elections vs. the Stock Market канала Ben Felix
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