USA edge it but it's tight: Paraguay's defence ranks #17 to the USA's #38 #Shorts

USA open their home World Cup as favourites — but only just. We lined our model up against the market, and the opener at SoFi looks genuinely tight.

Here's our model read, against the market:
• USA 44% to win — with the draw at 28% and Paraguay at 28%
• Expected goals: USA 1.41 – Paraguay 1.08
• Most likely scoreline: 1-1, with the total landing around 2.5 goals
• Why so tight? Paraguay's defence ranks #17 of 48 at this World Cup
• The USA's defence sits at #38 — bottom quarter of the field

#Shorts #WorldCup2026 #USA #Paraguay #USMNT #football #footballanalytics

📊 Analytics, not betting advice.

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Видео USA edge it but it's tight: Paraguay's defence ranks #17 to the USA's #38 #Shorts канала Football Pregame Analysis