Could Bitcoin Still Crash 35‑40%? Assessing the Downside Risk

In this video I break down why Bitcoin’s recent rejection from key resistance could signal the next low in this cycle. I walk through the four‑year cycle outlook, compare the current fractal to 2022, and analyze the monthly MACD bearish cross for bear‑market confirmation. You’ll also get a detailed look at micro‑support zones around $63K‑$65K and the potential for a 35‑40% further downside, plus a best‑case scenario that could push Bitcoin to $75K‑$77K.

We examine the macro timing model, Elliott Wave implications, and the monthly momentum indicators that could hint at a bottom forming. Then I shift to the shorter‑term chart to pinpoint critical support and resistance levels, explaining how a flat‑correction B wave or a five‑wave decline might unfold. By the end you’ll have a clear view of the price ranges to watch and what each signal means for Bitcoin’s near‑term outlook.

Timestamps:
0:00 - Resistance rejection overview
1:20 - Cycle thesis and upcoming lows
2:41 - 2022 fractal comparison and RSI
4:06 - Best‑case 75‑77K scenario
5:58 - Flat correction B wave explained
7:04 - Monthly MACD bearish cross
8:40 - Potential low and MACD status
10:30 - Downside risk 35‑40%
12:11 - Micro‑support 63‑64K zone
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Видео Could Bitcoin Still Crash 35‑40%? Assessing the Downside Risk канала More Crypto Online