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Gold +65%, Bitcoin -30%: Is MicroStrategy's Flywheel Breaking? | The Asymmetric #0

Gold is up 65% over the last year. Bitcoin is down 30%. And the most popular Bitcoin stock on the market — Strategy (MSTR), formerly MicroStrategy — just quietly abandoned the one promise that justified its premium.

This is The Asymmetric, Issue #0: a disciplined map of where tech and crypto actually stand in 2026 — the macro regime, the AI capex super-cycle, the gold/Bitcoin divergence, stablecoins, power-for-AI, and a full red-teamed deep dive on MicroStrategy. No hype, no price targets — just evidence, valuation logic, and what would change our mind.

⏱ CHAPTERS
0:00 The trade almost everyone got wrong
0:22 What The Asymmetric is (and isn't)
1:06 The macro regime: tight on rates, quietly easing
1:53 What's moving — six questions
1:58 AI capex hits $700B, and the cycle is accelerating
2:34 Gold vs Bitcoin: the great divergence
3:13 Is a liquidity inflection coming?
3:32 Power for AI — 2026 contracts, 2028 earnings
4:13 Stablecoins: the TCP/IP moment for digital dollars
4:48 Deep dive: MicroStrategy / Strategy (MSTR)
6:16 Bear / base / bull scenarios
7:17 What to watch in the next 30 days
7:37 Where we land
7:56 Disclaimer

🔍 COVERED: Federal Reserve liquidity, hyperscaler AI capex (Microsoft, Google, Meta, Amazon), Nvidia, gold–Bitcoin correlation, stablecoins (USDC, USDT), data-center power demand (Constellation, Vistra, GE Vernova), and the MicroStrategy mNAV premium debate.

This research is for informational and educational purposes only and is not personalized financial advice. All assumptions should be independently verified.

#investing #Bitcoin #MicroStrategy

Видео Gold +65%, Bitcoin -30%: Is MicroStrategy's Flywheel Breaking? | The Asymmetric #0 канала The Asymmetric Signal
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