Pandemic update, Tuesday 29 September
US
90% of population remains susceptible (Dr. Redfield)
NYC
Rising cases
Indoor gatherings
Public schools opening
Private schools and none-essential business may close
Florida lifts all COVID-19 restrictions
https://abcnews.go.com/Health/florida-lifts-covid-19-restrictions/story?id=73294496
Cases, 692,234
+ 16, 540 in past 7 days
Positivity rate, 5.33% to 7.54%
Gov. Ron DeSantis
No longer fines for not wearing face masks
Restrictions on all businesses, restaurants, bars, lifted
Every business has the right to operate
Some of the locals can do reasonable regulations. But you can't just say no
a full Super Bowl (NFL) in Tampa in February
Local governments may implement limited restrictions ……
If they are able to prove the decision can be justified based on both public health and economic factors
Why we have restrictions
Population, 21. 48 million
Probably 2.2 million immune
19 million not immune
13.3 million (70%) potential infections
Potential hospitalizations, 665, 000 (5%)
Potential 40, 000 deaths (0.3%)
Excess deaths
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-mortality-raw-death-count?tab=chart&stackMode=absolute®ion=World
US updates symptoms
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/symptoms-testing/symptoms.html
CDC data
https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#cases_casesinlast7days
Growth rate in real time
https://rt.live
Hospital admissions data
https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/COVIDNet/COVID19_3.html
Washington University data
http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates
Europe
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Batch of its Sputnik V sent to Belarus for clinical trials, starting 1st October
https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea
UK
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/healthcare
Cases, 6,874 + 6,042 + 5,693 + 4,044
Cases, 19, 247 + 19, 661 + 19, 523 + 19,373
Active cases, 211, 777
https://covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
847 swab tests, 7th 20th September
Could be back to May levels within 3 weeks
https://covid.joinzoe.com/post/incidence-update-sept-25
England R = 1.4
Scotland R = 1.3
Wales R = 1.4
In 7 days
North West, tripled from 12,544 to 36,316
North East and Yorkshire, more than doubled from 12,916 to 27,731
London, doubled, from 9,291 to 18,200
The number of cases in the UK continues to rise at an alarming rate as we are seeing figures doubling weekly across the country (TS)
The government has confirmed that our data from our loyal app users is playing a critical role and currently providing the most up-to-date figures
France
Government, no plan to order a new nationwide lockdown
Russia
Victor Maleev from the Russian Academy of Sciences
Well over 8,000 daily cases
I think that infections are going to rise now and we will approach a plateau, and then a gradual decline will begin, there is unlikely to be a peak
The plateau will probably be at the start of October
Brazil
Death rates high in April and May
? herd immunity
Increasing cases this month
Efficacy of masks and face coverings in controlling outward aerosol particle emission from expiratory activities
https://depts.washington.edu/pandemicalliance/covid-19-literature-report/latest-reports/
(Nature, Scientific Reports 24th September)
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-020-72798-7
Examined micron scale particle emission by mask-wearers into the surrounding air
Surgical and KN95 masks reduce outward particle emissions
Coughing, 74% reduction
Speaking, 90% reduction
Decreased the outward particle emission of a coughing superemitter
Who emitted up to two orders of magnitude more expiratory particles via coughing than average
? virus-contaminated fabrics can generate aerosolized fomites
Importance of regular washing of homemade masks
Видео Pandemic update, Tuesday 29 September канала Dr. John Campbell
90% of population remains susceptible (Dr. Redfield)
NYC
Rising cases
Indoor gatherings
Public schools opening
Private schools and none-essential business may close
Florida lifts all COVID-19 restrictions
https://abcnews.go.com/Health/florida-lifts-covid-19-restrictions/story?id=73294496
Cases, 692,234
+ 16, 540 in past 7 days
Positivity rate, 5.33% to 7.54%
Gov. Ron DeSantis
No longer fines for not wearing face masks
Restrictions on all businesses, restaurants, bars, lifted
Every business has the right to operate
Some of the locals can do reasonable regulations. But you can't just say no
a full Super Bowl (NFL) in Tampa in February
Local governments may implement limited restrictions ……
If they are able to prove the decision can be justified based on both public health and economic factors
Why we have restrictions
Population, 21. 48 million
Probably 2.2 million immune
19 million not immune
13.3 million (70%) potential infections
Potential hospitalizations, 665, 000 (5%)
Potential 40, 000 deaths (0.3%)
Excess deaths
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-mortality-raw-death-count?tab=chart&stackMode=absolute®ion=World
US updates symptoms
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/symptoms-testing/symptoms.html
CDC data
https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#cases_casesinlast7days
Growth rate in real time
https://rt.live
Hospital admissions data
https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/COVIDNet/COVID19_3.html
Washington University data
http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates
Europe
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Batch of its Sputnik V sent to Belarus for clinical trials, starting 1st October
https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea
UK
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/healthcare
Cases, 6,874 + 6,042 + 5,693 + 4,044
Cases, 19, 247 + 19, 661 + 19, 523 + 19,373
Active cases, 211, 777
https://covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
847 swab tests, 7th 20th September
Could be back to May levels within 3 weeks
https://covid.joinzoe.com/post/incidence-update-sept-25
England R = 1.4
Scotland R = 1.3
Wales R = 1.4
In 7 days
North West, tripled from 12,544 to 36,316
North East and Yorkshire, more than doubled from 12,916 to 27,731
London, doubled, from 9,291 to 18,200
The number of cases in the UK continues to rise at an alarming rate as we are seeing figures doubling weekly across the country (TS)
The government has confirmed that our data from our loyal app users is playing a critical role and currently providing the most up-to-date figures
France
Government, no plan to order a new nationwide lockdown
Russia
Victor Maleev from the Russian Academy of Sciences
Well over 8,000 daily cases
I think that infections are going to rise now and we will approach a plateau, and then a gradual decline will begin, there is unlikely to be a peak
The plateau will probably be at the start of October
Brazil
Death rates high in April and May
? herd immunity
Increasing cases this month
Efficacy of masks and face coverings in controlling outward aerosol particle emission from expiratory activities
https://depts.washington.edu/pandemicalliance/covid-19-literature-report/latest-reports/
(Nature, Scientific Reports 24th September)
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-020-72798-7
Examined micron scale particle emission by mask-wearers into the surrounding air
Surgical and KN95 masks reduce outward particle emissions
Coughing, 74% reduction
Speaking, 90% reduction
Decreased the outward particle emission of a coughing superemitter
Who emitted up to two orders of magnitude more expiratory particles via coughing than average
? virus-contaminated fabrics can generate aerosolized fomites
Importance of regular washing of homemade masks
Видео Pandemic update, Tuesday 29 September канала Dr. John Campbell
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