5 Reasons Why China Won't Invade Taiwan

The tension between China and Taiwan has been increasingly heightening for the past decade. Increasingly more frequent Chinese navy exercises off the coast of Taiwan and incursion on Taiwanese Air Identification Defense Zone by PLA's jets have buttressed the perception of an imminent Chinese invasion of the island. As clearly explained by @BattleOrder the PLAN is more than capable of implementing such a military operation. But is that really the case? In this video, we argue that China has more reason to deter such actions, than proceeding with an actual Invasion against Taiwan.

Table of Content:
00:00 Taiwan-China Relationship
04:27 Taiwan's Strategic Value
08:46 First Reason: President Xi's Political Interests
10:25 Difficult Military Operation
12:16 Unfavourable International Environment for China
13:28 Taiwan's Defence Network
15:40 Taiwan's Economy and Supply Chains
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Many thanks to Jasper, J.J. Liu, Edward, and Richard for their great help!

Narration by Jasper: Discord (Jasper'sVoice2734) and YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCD2ivFjPg_LxijH3aKpWIbw)

Script editing by Edward King Grey and J.J. Liu (https://twitter.com/JJLiu112)

Music: Magnetic by CO.AG https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1YL-DVgSSGc&t=57s

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Check my previous videos:

Australia's Maritime Strategy: https://youtu.be/RhN9C4yPALI

Strategic Importance of Afghanistan: https://youtu.be/k1j_B6PiPjU

The Malacca Dilemma: https://youtu.be/PJReTyTbbZ4

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Bibliography

[1] http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/special/2017-11/03/c_136725945.htm
[2] https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/jan/02/all-necessary-means-xi-jinping-reserves-right-to-use-force-against-taiwan
[3] http://kula.geol.wwu.edu/rjmitch/coastalpopulation.pdf
[4] https://www.globaltimes.cn/content/700783.shtml
[5]Post-war Japan As a Sea Power: Imperial Legacy, Wartime Experience and the Making of a Navy, 2015, Alessio Palatano
[6]https://edition.cnn.com/2021/10/23/asia/russia-china-patrol-pacific-defense-intl/index.html
[7]https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-58780258
[8]https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinas-xi-pledges-reunification-with-taiwan-partys-birthday-2021-07-01/
[9] https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/oct/09/xi-jinping-vows-taiwans-reunification-with-china-will-be-fulfilled
[10] https://www.heritage.org/defense/commentary/war-against-china-numbers-tell-only-part-the-story
[11] https://www.nap.edu/read/18832/chapter/5
[12]https://www.forbes.com/sites/timdaiss/2016/07/16/china-has-defied-international-law-now-what-experts-speak-out/?sh=54e50e487829
[13] https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.TRD.GNFS.ZS
[14]https://www.taiwan.gov.tw/content_6.php
[15]https://www.economist.com/leaders/2021/05/01/the-most-dangerous-place-on-earth
[16]https://www.reuters.com/world/china/taiwan-seeks-again-reassure-us-over-tackling-chip-shortage-2021-08-24/

Видео 5 Reasons Why China Won't Invade Taiwan канала Kamome