What Can and Can't be Predicted about Technology — Kevin Kelly

Larger scale trends in technology are predictable, says Kevin Kelly, but the specifics are not. In nature, quadrupeds are inevitable—it's a common form in animal life. But the zebra is not at all inevitable. The same is true for technology: the Internet was inevitable, but Twitter was not. Telephones were inevitable, but the iPhone was not.

Watch the full talk:
https://youtu.be/t_jvpnx1q5w

Much of what will happen in the next 30 years is inevitable, driven by trends that are now in motion. Long Now’s Kevin Kelly shares his thoughts on upcoming changes from virtual reality to the on-demand economy and how they represent long-term, accelerating forces in this unique event in discussion with The Interval audience.

"The Inevitable" was given on June 7, 02016 as part of The Long Now Foundation's “Conversations at The Interval” Salon Talks. These hour long talks are recorded live at The Interval, our bar, cafe, & museum in San Francisco. Since 02014 this series has presented artists, authors, entrepreneurs, scientists (and more) taking a long-term perspective on subjects like art, design, history, nature, technology, and time. To follow the talks, you can:

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