There's Gonna Be a Rug Pull - 10/01/2025

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📍 In this episode:
Government shutdowns, Fed cuts, retail mania, and Wall Street’s hidden game—Larry tells you what’s really moving the market.
In this episode of Trading with Larry Live, Larry breaks down the market’s reaction to the latest government shutdown, exposes the truth behind weak jobs data, and calls out the dangerous complacency in today’s market. From algorithm-driven “video game” trading to the hidden costs of payment for order flow, Larry reveals how Wall Street stacks the deck against retail traders—and why October could bring the kind of volatility most investors aren’t prepared for.

🕒 Timestamps:
2:30 - Government Shutdown: Market Friend or Foe?
5:45 - Weak Jobs Data & What It Really Means
9:00 - Trump’s Strategy and the Hidden Impact
10:50 - Lessons From Past Shutdown Sell-Offs
12:00 - Fed’s Dilemma: Cut Now or Wait?
14:40 - The Quarter-End Games Wall Street Plays
15:55 - Retail Traders: The Relentless Buyers
17:45 - “Buy the Dip”… But Where’s the Dip?
19:50 - Rate Cut Confusion & Market Divergence
21:45 - Why Everyone’s Obsessed With the “Mag 7”
23:30 - Algorithms Turn Trading Into a Video Game
26:15 - The Looming Rug Pull No One’s Ready For
27:05 - The Truth About Payment for Order Flow
29:20 - How Wall Street Makes Money Every Day
31:20 - Why Retail Could Get Crushed Next
33:15 - Who Really Benefits From Free Trades
36:10 - Retail Mania: From GameStop to Today
39:40 - Zero-Day Options: Casino or Strategy?
42:00 - Gold, Gambling, and the Robinhood Effect
45:35 - Is Retail Actually Making Money?
48:30 - This Market Looks Like 2007 All Over Again
51:50 - Can Retail Traders Survive the First Real Test?
52:00 - October Volatility Warning Signs
53:30 - Final Thoughts: Stay Cautious, Stay Sharp

👤About Larry Benedict
Larry Benedict, a 40-year trading veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager, delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients through some of the worst market meltdowns. Now he helps everyday traders profit with hedge fund-level insights, strategies, and trade recommendations.

👤 About Eric Shamilov
Eric Shamilov has over a decade of experience in trading and research. He began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman’s family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. More recently, he has been trading managed accounts for family offices and working alongside Larry Benedict. He studied at NYU’s Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York.

👤 About Clint Brewer
Clint Brewer brings 20 years of investment industry experience. That includes providing research for some of the largest institutions in the world, including Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. He managed more than $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines. Clint also holds a bachelor’s and a master’s degree in finance.

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