The Greatest Transfer Of Wealth Is Upon Us

The Greatest Transfer Of Wealth Is Upon Us

A lot of money can be made betting on when the Federal Reserve will “pivot” — that is, take its foot at least partially off the rate-hike gas pedal. Yet a lot of money can also be lost, as we saw on August 26 when the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -0.96% lost more than 1,000 points after Fed Chair Jerome Powell dashed hopes that the Fed’s pivot had begun in July. So it’s helpful to review past rate-hike cycles to see how investors fared when trying to anticipate when those cycles came to an end. To do that, I focused on the six distinct rate-hike cycles since the Fed began specifically targeting the Fed funds rate. The table below reports how many days prior to the end of those cycles that the stock market hit its low. (Specifically, I focused on a six-month window prior to the end of each cycle, and determined when within that window the S&P 500 SPX, -1.10% hit its low.)

Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and the topics discussed in this video are not to be taken as investment advice. Just my personal opinion being shared. Nothing more.

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