A 'sober' 2021 gold price target; say goodbye to 'phenomenal' drivers - HSBC's Jim Steel
2020 has seen a “phenomenal” inflow of gold-backed exchange-traded funds, fueling an investment-led rally, but while ETF inflows are still expected to be strong, 2020’s level of inflows would be hard to keep up.
Jim Steel, chief precious metals analyst at HSBC, said that gold will average a price of $1,965 an ounce in 2021, owing to competing macroeconomic forces; accommodative monetary policy will continue to provide tailwinds, but an unwinding of geopolitical risk from a Biden Administration will ease the appetite for gold.
“Gold is sensitive to geopolitical risk,” he said. “If we’re going to get some rapprochement on the trade issues between the United States and the other countries, and it’s not just one country, it could be from several, and we also get a charm offensive from the Biden Administration to U.S. allies or to others, and the geopolitical risks come down and there’s progress made on the trade front, then that would be negative for gold.”
0:00 - Main drivers of gold
4:39 - Physical gold market
6:06 - Bullish vs bearish cases for gold
13:48 - Equities vs gold correlation
16:31 - U.S. dollar
17:28 - Gold price target in 2021
18:27 - Seasonality
18:55 - ETF inflows
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Видео A 'sober' 2021 gold price target; say goodbye to 'phenomenal' drivers - HSBC's Jim Steel канала Kitco NEWS
Jim Steel, chief precious metals analyst at HSBC, said that gold will average a price of $1,965 an ounce in 2021, owing to competing macroeconomic forces; accommodative monetary policy will continue to provide tailwinds, but an unwinding of geopolitical risk from a Biden Administration will ease the appetite for gold.
“Gold is sensitive to geopolitical risk,” he said. “If we’re going to get some rapprochement on the trade issues between the United States and the other countries, and it’s not just one country, it could be from several, and we also get a charm offensive from the Biden Administration to U.S. allies or to others, and the geopolitical risks come down and there’s progress made on the trade front, then that would be negative for gold.”
0:00 - Main drivers of gold
4:39 - Physical gold market
6:06 - Bullish vs bearish cases for gold
13:48 - Equities vs gold correlation
16:31 - U.S. dollar
17:28 - Gold price target in 2021
18:27 - Seasonality
18:55 - ETF inflows
__________________________________________________________________
Kitco News is the world’s #1 source of metals market information. Our videos feature interviews with prominent industry figures to bring you market-affecting insights, with the goal of helping people make informed investment decisions.
Subscribe to our channel to stay up to date on the latest insights moving the metals markets.
For more breaking news, visit http://www.kitco.com/
Follow us on social media:
Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/KitcoNews/?ref=br_rs
Twitter - https://twitter.com/kitconewsnow
Google+: https://plus.google.com/u/0/116266490328854474588
StockTwits - https://stocktwits.com/kitconews
Live gold price and charts: http://www.kitco.com/gold-price-today-usa/
Live silver price and charts: http://www.kitco.com/silver-price-today-usa/
Don’t forget to sign up for Kitco News’ Weekly Roundup – comes out every Friday to recap the hottest stories & videos of the week: https://connect.kitco.com/subscription/newsletter.html
Join the conversation @ The Kitco Forums and be part of the premier online community for precious metals investors: https://gold-forum.kitco.com/
Disclaimer: Videos are not trading advice and the views expressed may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc.
Видео A 'sober' 2021 gold price target; say goodbye to 'phenomenal' drivers - HSBC's Jim Steel канала Kitco NEWS
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