Markets Rally on US-Iran Peace and Shrug Off Rate Hikes 🤷‍♂️😅

The S&P 500 finishes the week up nearly 1% after a volatile trading cycle driven by Fed rate hike fears and chaotic US-Iran headlines. While oil fell 10%, the official signing summit in Switzerland was postponed over the holiday weekend. Investors now brace for a high-stakes PCE inflation tiebreaker on Thursday.

Will the peace deal hold? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇

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📊 Market Update (6/19/26):
Markets rally on a ceasefire deal, but rate hikes threaten to derail it. It was a rollercoaster, but the market managed to end the week up nearly a percent. Let’s quickly recap.

Monday surged after the US and Iran signed a framework agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend. But that excitement faded into a Tuesday and into Wednesday’s Fed meeting. Then, stocks tanked after a more hawkish than expected Fed meeting—officially solidifying investor fears by pivoting the forecast toward rate hikes. Fortunately, Thursday sharply rebounded as investors continue to rotate into AI.

So, what’s going on? Well, the ceasefire deal is driving a lot of the optimism. Investors are breathing a sigh of relief as oil futures plummeted another 10% this week while gas continues to drifts lower as well. On the flip side, the Fed is pouring some cold water on the rally as rate hike expectations have now risen to 90% for this year.

So, what now? Well, in another twist, the peace deal may already be fracturing over the Juneteenth market holiday. The official signing in Switzerland was called off after some proxy fighting in Lebanon. It seems the fragile ceasefire terms are still holding, but it’s another does of uncertainty for markets come Monday. Later on Thursday, we’ll get May PCE inflation data. After last week's split consumer and producer inflation numbers, the PCE may be the tiebreaker as investors look to predict the Fed’s next moves.

#stockmarket #macro #inflation #fed #interestrates #oilprices #sp500 #investing #finance #geopolitics

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Видео Markets Rally on US-Iran Peace and Shrug Off Rate Hikes 🤷‍♂️😅 канала Ursa Invest