Breeders’ Cup 2020 - Juvenile - Essential Quality - 20–8–4–2 November 6, 2020

Keeneland 20–8–4–2 November 6, 2020

Results WIN PLACE SHOW
5 - Essential Quality 7-2 $9.40 $6.20 $4.40
12 - Hot Rod Charlie 94-1 $51.60 $24.00
6 - Keepmeinmind 30-1 $11.20

Blue Grass Stakes (Grade II) - Purse $800,000 - 1 1/8 miles - 100-40-20-10

THE LIMITED SAMPLE SIZE OF 2-YR OLDS PAST PERFORMANCES MAY INCORPORATE SAMPLING BIASES AND SAMPLING ERRORS IN THE PACEBIASE ALGORITHM CALCULATED FROM EQUIBASE STATS

The Trackman has apparently created Morning Lines (ML) accurately.

Trackman ML Best SF - PACEBIAS - (stretching out)

Essential Quality (KY) 3/5 105 2.62% (1/2f)
Highly Motivated (KY) 4/1 102 32.17% (1f)
Keepmeinmind (KY) 8/1 98 4.55% (1/2f)
Untreated (KY) 10/1 101 186.23% (.8f)
Rombauer (KY) 15/1
Hush of a Storm (NY) 15/1
Hidden Stash (KY) 20/1
Sittin On Go (KY) 30/1
Leblon (KY) 50/1

COMMENTS

The main idea is who can run down the program favorite ESSENTIAL QUALITY. Upon first thought, no one because ESSENTIAL QUALITY does in fact have the best speed figure. However, the pacebias is minute albeit positive. A horse with stamina like UNTREATED could run him down but UNTREATED is off his LASIX, which could slow him down. HIGHLY MOTIVATED is another possibility but has to go an additional 1 furlong and always has problems at the gate. KEEPMEINMIND only has 1/2 furlong to go.

LONGSHOTS

Leblon (KY)

Hush of a Storm (NY)

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