Sunday Updates and Reflections
UK
Prof Chris Whitty
Children are more likely to be harmed by not returning to school
the chances of children dying from Covid-19 are incredibly small
Missing lessons damages children in the long run
Covid-19 would be a challenge for at least nine months
vaccine unlikely before the end of the year
reasonable chance, for winter in 2021-22
All England back next month
Scotland back already
Illegal gatherings
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-53879548
Birmingham
70 + unlicensed street and house parties on Saturday night
Huddersfield
Meeting of 300 people
London
1,000 + unlicensed events since the end of June
Organisers now could face fines in England
Attenders, smaller fines, doubling on each offence
Also those who flout face coverings where mandatory, public transport, shops, supermarkets.
Robert Redfield (CDC)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vwBMCX80NC0
Turning the tide in the South
E.g. Arizona
Masks
Hands
Distance
Restaurants limited
Being smart about crowds
Bars closed
Retail open
2 weeks cases went up
4 weeks later, back to where they started
2 to 4 weeks delay
Infections to date
1 – 20%
Parts on NY city, 20 – 25%
30 – 60 million people infected to date
Herd immunity
Need to get R under 1
30 – 50% history of immunity PLUS mitigation strategies
Partial held immunity
Vaccination
Increase flu vaccine with confidence
Twindemic
Mitigation PLUS vaccination could make this a minimal flu season
9, 300, 000 million additional doses acquired
Pharmacists vaccinating, 3 years and older
Overwhelmed hospitals increase mortality
COVID Vaccination
Fall
Distribution networks being developed now
Addressing Influenza Vaccination Disparities During the COVID-19 Pandemic
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2769837
2018 - 2019
Overall 45.3 %
White 48.7 %
Black 39.4 %
Hispanic 37.1 %
American Indian / Alaskan 33.1%
CDC
https://www.cdc.gov/disasters/covid-19/wildfire_smoke_covid-19.html
Wildfire smoke
Irritate the lungs
Cause inflammation
Immune effects
More prone to infections and COVID - 19
Only N95s work
Smoke symptoms
Dry cough
Sore throat
Difficulty breathing
COVID symptom
Fever or chills
Muscle or body aches
Diarrhea
Red flag symptoms
Chest pain
India
US, Brazil, India
Daily infections increasing
Low testing
Delhi
Uttar Pradesh, Bihar in the north
Southern states
South Korea
Cases, + 397
Greater Seoul region
Restrictions large gatherings, whole country, services, nightclubs, karaoke bars,
internet cafes, beaches closed
Ireland
Parliamentary Golf Society dinner, last week
hours after tightened restrictions
Coronavirus vaccine: Short cuts and allegations of dirty tricks in race to be first
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-53864069
In this race, accusations of short-cuts, espionage, unethical risk-taking, jealousy, vaccine nationalism
Lawrence Gostin, Professor, Georgetown University
The reason the Covid-19 vaccine has taken on such political symbolism is that the superpowers have seen the vaccine as projecting their scientific prowess, actually validating their political system as superior
July
UK, US and Canada accused Russia's spy agencies of hacking into vaccine research, stealing data
Thomas Bollyky, director of the global health program, Council on Foreign Relations
There have been short cuts taken for sure, particularly in the Russian case
Testing within the military
Locking up large initial doses of supplies of vaccines
Vaccine diplomacy
Dr Tedros, 18th August
Richer countries should join a global programme to share vaccines with poorer nations
We need to prevent vaccine nationalism
Challenge trials
30 experimental vaccines in human trials
All have been told to maintain social distancing, and not to seek out coronavirus
50% placebo
Vaccine might not work
Brazil, US
1 day sooner
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-53862413
https://1daysooner.org
Volunteers, 35,545
Counites, 160
Influenza, malaria, typhoid, dengue fever, and cholera
If, 25% of lives saved
1 day saves 1,250 lives
1 week saves 8,750 lives
1 month saves 37,500 lives
3 months saves 112,500 lives
Dr. Francis Collins, Director of the National Institutes of Health
Biomedical and public health research
https://biologos.org/podcast-episodes/n-t-wright-francis-collins-a-christian-response-to-coronavirus
Видео Sunday Updates and Reflections канала Dr. John Campbell
Prof Chris Whitty
Children are more likely to be harmed by not returning to school
the chances of children dying from Covid-19 are incredibly small
Missing lessons damages children in the long run
Covid-19 would be a challenge for at least nine months
vaccine unlikely before the end of the year
reasonable chance, for winter in 2021-22
All England back next month
Scotland back already
Illegal gatherings
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-53879548
Birmingham
70 + unlicensed street and house parties on Saturday night
Huddersfield
Meeting of 300 people
London
1,000 + unlicensed events since the end of June
Organisers now could face fines in England
Attenders, smaller fines, doubling on each offence
Also those who flout face coverings where mandatory, public transport, shops, supermarkets.
Robert Redfield (CDC)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vwBMCX80NC0
Turning the tide in the South
E.g. Arizona
Masks
Hands
Distance
Restaurants limited
Being smart about crowds
Bars closed
Retail open
2 weeks cases went up
4 weeks later, back to where they started
2 to 4 weeks delay
Infections to date
1 – 20%
Parts on NY city, 20 – 25%
30 – 60 million people infected to date
Herd immunity
Need to get R under 1
30 – 50% history of immunity PLUS mitigation strategies
Partial held immunity
Vaccination
Increase flu vaccine with confidence
Twindemic
Mitigation PLUS vaccination could make this a minimal flu season
9, 300, 000 million additional doses acquired
Pharmacists vaccinating, 3 years and older
Overwhelmed hospitals increase mortality
COVID Vaccination
Fall
Distribution networks being developed now
Addressing Influenza Vaccination Disparities During the COVID-19 Pandemic
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2769837
2018 - 2019
Overall 45.3 %
White 48.7 %
Black 39.4 %
Hispanic 37.1 %
American Indian / Alaskan 33.1%
CDC
https://www.cdc.gov/disasters/covid-19/wildfire_smoke_covid-19.html
Wildfire smoke
Irritate the lungs
Cause inflammation
Immune effects
More prone to infections and COVID - 19
Only N95s work
Smoke symptoms
Dry cough
Sore throat
Difficulty breathing
COVID symptom
Fever or chills
Muscle or body aches
Diarrhea
Red flag symptoms
Chest pain
India
US, Brazil, India
Daily infections increasing
Low testing
Delhi
Uttar Pradesh, Bihar in the north
Southern states
South Korea
Cases, + 397
Greater Seoul region
Restrictions large gatherings, whole country, services, nightclubs, karaoke bars,
internet cafes, beaches closed
Ireland
Parliamentary Golf Society dinner, last week
hours after tightened restrictions
Coronavirus vaccine: Short cuts and allegations of dirty tricks in race to be first
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-53864069
In this race, accusations of short-cuts, espionage, unethical risk-taking, jealousy, vaccine nationalism
Lawrence Gostin, Professor, Georgetown University
The reason the Covid-19 vaccine has taken on such political symbolism is that the superpowers have seen the vaccine as projecting their scientific prowess, actually validating their political system as superior
July
UK, US and Canada accused Russia's spy agencies of hacking into vaccine research, stealing data
Thomas Bollyky, director of the global health program, Council on Foreign Relations
There have been short cuts taken for sure, particularly in the Russian case
Testing within the military
Locking up large initial doses of supplies of vaccines
Vaccine diplomacy
Dr Tedros, 18th August
Richer countries should join a global programme to share vaccines with poorer nations
We need to prevent vaccine nationalism
Challenge trials
30 experimental vaccines in human trials
All have been told to maintain social distancing, and not to seek out coronavirus
50% placebo
Vaccine might not work
Brazil, US
1 day sooner
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-53862413
https://1daysooner.org
Volunteers, 35,545
Counites, 160
Influenza, malaria, typhoid, dengue fever, and cholera
If, 25% of lives saved
1 day saves 1,250 lives
1 week saves 8,750 lives
1 month saves 37,500 lives
3 months saves 112,500 lives
Dr. Francis Collins, Director of the National Institutes of Health
Biomedical and public health research
https://biologos.org/podcast-episodes/n-t-wright-francis-collins-a-christian-response-to-coronavirus
Видео Sunday Updates and Reflections канала Dr. John Campbell
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