Stimulus certainty is driving bond yields higher, which is driving stocks lower

CNBC's Bob Pisani explains the moves in the market as stocks begin trading Friday. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO: https://cnb.cx/2NGeIvi

The S&P 500 slipped from a record high on Friday as bond yields surged, rekindling fears that rising rates will take the comeback momentum out of equities, especially tech names.

The broad equity benchmark lost 0.4%, falling from a closing high reached in the previous session. Tech and communication services were the two biggest losers among the 11 S&P 500 sectors. The Nasdaq Composite shed 1.4% as shares of Tesla fell more than 3%. Netflix and Facebook dropped 2%, while Apple, Amazon and Microsoft were all down at least 1%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average bucked the downtrend and rose 130 points. Bank stocks gained amid rising rates, while industrials continued their strength on the back of new stimulus. Goldman Sachs shares jumped 2.3%, and JPMorgan climbed 1.8%. Boeing popped 5%.

The 10-year Treasury yield jumped more than 0.1% to 1.64% Friday, hitting its highest level since February 2020. The benchmark rate started 2021 at around 0.92%.

The rapid rise in bond yields prompted investors to dump the Nasdaq names again after a brief rebound earlier this week. Sharp increases in interest rates can put outsized pressure on high-growth tech stocks as they reduce the relative value of future profits.

“Higher rates, less dovish central banks are now considered to be the single biggest threat for risk assets,” Ralf Preusser, Bank of America’s rates strategist, said in a note. With the passage of the US fiscal stimulus package and the blistering progress in vaccinations in the US, a number of other key risks are falling by the wayside.”

Ned Davis Research estimated that the Nasdaq 100, the tech heavy index which tracks the 100 largest non-financial companies in the Nasdaq Composite, would drop another 20% if the 10-year yield hits 2%.

Friday’s sell-off pared the Nasdaq’s weekly gain to about 2%. The S&P 500 is up 2% on the week, while the blue-chip Dow outperformed with a 3.7% rally this week as investors piled into names tied to an economic recovery.

The S&P 500 jumped 1% and hit a new closing high Thursday, surpassing its previous record from Feb. 16, as President Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion Covid-19 relief package became law.

Biden’s much-anticipated relief bill will send direct payments of up to $1,400 to many Americans as soon as this weekend, and will also put nearly $20 billion into Covid-19 vaccinations and $350 billion into state, local and tribal government relief.

Biden announced Thursday evening that he would direct states to make all adults eligible for the vaccine by May 1 in his first primetime address as president.

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